Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.012141 0.014090 0.016240 0.018788 0.021723 0.024998 0.028927
2026-02-01 0.009000 0.011453 0.014407 0.018221 0.023012 0.028825 0.036412
2026-02-08 0.007023 0.009680 0.013130 0.017928 0.024415 0.032872 0.044727
2026-02-15 0.005555 0.008219 0.011917 0.017406 0.025326 0.036319 0.052719
2026-02-22 0.004814 0.007585 0.011664 0.018078 0.027877 0.042247 0.064883
2026-03-01 0.004066 0.006786 0.011012 0.018013 0.029279 0.046643 0.075373
2026-03-08 0.003354 0.005905 0.010071 0.017318 0.029549 0.049283 0.083440
2026-03-15 0.002885 0.005335 0.009526 0.017148 0.030588 0.053198 0.093978
2026-03-22 0.002670 0.005166 0.009619 0.018053 0.033529 0.060571 0.111194
2026-03-29 0.002425 0.004897 0.009486 0.018520 0.035734 0.066910 0.127355
2026-04-05 0.002094 0.004409 0.008877 0.018007 0.036052 0.069882 0.137734
2026-04-12 0.001847 0.004046 0.008449 0.017772 0.036843 0.073780 0.150264
2026-04-19 0.001603 0.003655 0.007920 0.017279 0.037098 0.076762 0.161560
2026-04-26 0.001407 0.003338 0.007495 0.016936 0.037611 0.080311 0.174448
2026-05-03 0.001253 0.003085 0.007169 0.016756 0.038433 0.084574 0.189324
2026-05-10 0.001100 0.002810 0.006753 0.016315 0.038623 0.087522 0.201749
2026-05-17 0.001040 0.002749 0.006815 0.016973 0.041362 0.096281 0.227976
2026-05-24 0.000943 0.002578 0.006592 0.016925 0.042459 0.101524 0.246904
2026-05-31 0.000824 0.002331 0.006149 0.016278 0.042035 0.103241 0.257868
2026-06-07 0.000745 0.002177 0.005916 0.016121 0.042789 0.107793 0.276106
2026-06-14 0.000721 0.002173 0.006067 0.016975 0.046201 0.119113 0.312186
2026-06-21 0.000681 0.002113 0.006062 0.017417 0.048603 0.128225 0.343831
2026-06-28 0.000607 0.001944 0.005736 0.016934 0.048493 0.131009 0.359653